Two proposal articles shown below, focusing on the result of the US midterm elections are posted.
- "How will the US midterm elections results affect the Trump administration's foreign policy for 2019?" Tsuneo Watanabe, Senior Fellow, the Sasakawa Peace Foundation (Please see more the SSDP website)
- "The Present and Future of the International Trade Order" Akihiko Tamura, Professor, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (Please see more the SSDP website)
The Present State of the Japanese Economy and Policy Issues
Lectured by Motoshige Itoh, Professor Emeritus at the University of Tokyo
It will be six years at the end of this year since the Abe administration was inaugurated. I believe that "supply and demand" is a keyword to evaluate the administration's economic policies. The Abe administration has succeeded in generating demand. As is the case with the current US economy, the boosted demand is propelling the Japanese economy --- a great achievement, indeed.
Meanwhile, the supply-side adjustment is facing difficulties. Among various reasons for this is the harsh reality that such policy measures required of the government as a growth strategy, a social security reform, and a fiscal health restoration plan are not only difficult per se but also difficult politically. The same is true with labor reforms. Unfortunately, these policy measures are not promoted energetically at this moment.
Another point to note is that the government's reach is much weaker on the supply side than on the demand side. Unless corporations take actions, potential growth will not rise no matter how cogent a policy the government can formulate. These are relevant to the demand side policies the Abe administration has so far advanced.
(Abenomics successfully boosted demand)
Some symbolic data are available regarding Abenomics that succeeded in generating demand.
Expanding Social Security Expenses and Fiscal Reforms
Lectured by Kazumasa Oguro, Professor at Hosei University
It is quite natural that economic issues are taken up at the SSDP, because Japan's economic capabilities are a major factor in discussions on diplomacy and security. At present, supply side problems constitute a bottleneck for the Japanese economy.
(Present status of Japan's economic growth)
Various growth strategies and economic measures have been implemented since the collapse of the bubble. According to Figure 1 "Japan's Nominal GDP Growth Rate and Projection Assumptions," during the period from 1995 to 2016, annual growth of nominal GDP averaged just 0.3%. The GDP gap is now being eliminated. The question is how to raise the potential growth rate through reforms of the supply side. If we failed to raise it, a limit to further economic growth would emerge. Meanwhile, the trend of the business cycle is important, and as shown by Figure 1 in professor Itoh's handout, there is a possibility that the business cycle will cause Japan's economic slowdown from 2019 or 2020 after the completion of the Tokyo Olympic Games.
Former Vice Defense Minister Masahiro Akiyama's Memoirs (An Ad)
Society of Security and Diplomatic Policy Studies (SSDP)
China is rising and may become a regional hegemon in not-so- distant future. Ascending India and the resurgence of Russia also illustrate the fact that we face a rapid power transition in Asia. Against this backdrop, Japan, as a major regional power, and its security strategy and diplomatic policy will be put to the test. With this in mind, the Society of Security and Diplomatic Policy Studies (SSDP) was founded in October, 2016. The SSDP will also conduct public diplomacy through its research projects. Japanese foreign relations vis-à- vis the neighboring states are likely to mark a new chapter in the near future and therefore, our research endeavors and other activities will be consequential.
- The 14th SSDP discussion session was held on November 9 to discuss Trump's trade policy(2).
- The 13th SSDP discussion session was held on November 7 to discuss Trump's trade policy(1).
- The 12th SSDP discussion session was held on September 27 to discuss economic problems Japan is facing.
- The 11th SSDP discussion session was held on June 18 to discuss " North Korea's problem after the historical US-North Korea Summit Meeting ".
- The 10th SSDP discussion session was held on June 14 to discuss " North Korea's problem after the historical US-North Korea Summit Meeting".
- The 2nd Japan-Philippines Strategic Dialogue was held in Tokyo on March 10.
- The 9th SSDP discussion session was held on February 16 to discuss " The Network Hegemony Theory for a Security Architecture in The Asia Pacific Region ".
- The 8th SSDP discussion session was held on December18 to discuss "Destabilized Middle East".
- The 7th SSDP discussion session was held on October 9 to discuss "19th CCP National Congress".
- A special session was held on October 8 to hear a lecture on "Problems in Sino-Japanese Relations, 1992-2042"
- The 6th SSDP discussion session was held on September 28 to hear a lecture on the Future of the Asia-Pacific Region.
- A special session was held on September 19 to discuss a New Trend in India's Foreign Policy and Japan.
- The 5th SSDP discussion session was held on July 20 to discuss an economic interdependence and its action on politics
- A special session was held on June 30 to discuss The prospect of European politics and its implication on the Japan"s diplomatic policy
- The 4 th SSDP discussion session was held on May 31 to discuss the two great powers, the US and China, and the implication on Japan's diplomatic policy.
- The Japan-Taiwan Strategic Dialogue was held in Taipei on May 15 to discuss the Trump administration's influence on the region, in particular Taiwan.
- The Japan-Philippines Strategic Dialogue was held in Manila on January 31 to discuss the strategic environments for each country and the two countries' cooperation.
- The third SSDP discussion session was held on January 23, 2017 to discuss Abenomics and Trump.
- The second SSDP discussion session was held on December 7, 2016 to discuss Trump and his security policy.
- The first SSDP discussion session was held on October 14, 2016 to discuss the Korean Peninsula issues.
- Society of Security and Diplomatic Policy Studies (SSDP) was founded by AKIYAMA Associates (Masahiro Akiyama, president) in October, 2016.
- January 2019:, A paper, "How will the US midterm elections results affect the Trump administration's foreign policy for 2019?" written by Tsuneo Watanabe, Senior Fellow, the Sasakawa Peace Foundation
- January 2019:, A paper, "The Present and Future of the International Trade Order" , written by Akihiko Tamura, Professor, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies
- December 2018: The US-China Competition and Japan, written by Ryo Sahashi, Professor at Kanagawa University
- December 2018: An Outlook for the US-China Trade War―What makes the two economically interdependent superpowers confront each other?―, written by Takashi Sekiyama, Associate professor at Toyo University
- September 2018: Proposal, "The Denuclearization of North Korea and the Restoration of Peace in the Korean Peninsula― Correct Perceptions and Eight Proposals on Japan's North Korea Diplomacy－" edited by the Society of Security and Diplomatic Policy Studies
- September 2018: "The Taiwan Policy of the Xi Jinping Administration in its Second Term: An Outlook on Cross-Strait Relations in the New Era" written by Yasuhiro Matsuda, Professor of the Tokyo University
- July 2018: "The EU States and Russia on North Korea Issues- Expansion of Influence through Diplomacy: Attempts and Limitations -" lectured by Yuichi Hosoya, Professor of Keio University
- "An Assessment of the US-North Korea Summit and an Outlook for the Future of the Korean Peninsula" lectured by Junya Nishino, Professor of Keio University
- "Korean Peninsula Issue and Japan's Future Security Policy" written by Hideshi Tokuchi, Senior Fellow of National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies
- July 2018: "US North Korea policy affected by personnel changes in the Trump administration" lectured by Tsuneo Watanabe, Senior Fellow of the Sasakawa Peace Foundation.
- "China-North Korea relationship under Xi Jinping" lectured by Shin Kawashima, Professor of the Tokyo University.
- "North Korean Denuclearization and Russia" lectured by Nobuo Shimotomai, Professor of the Hosei University.
- March 2018: "The Network Hegemony Theory for a Security Architecture in The Asia Pacific Region" lectured by Masahiro Akiyama, Chairman, the Society of Security and Diplomatic Policy Studies
- January 2018: "A Destabilized Middle East" lectured by Koichiro Tanaka, Professor, Keio University
- December 2017: "Problems in Sino-Japanese Relations, 1992-2042" lectured by Ezra F. Vogel, Professor of the Social Sciences Emeritus at Harvard University
- November 2017: "The Future of the Asia-Pacific Region" written by Yoriko Kawaguchi, Fellow, the Meiji Institute for Global Affairs, Former Minister Foreign Affairs
- October 2017: "A New Trend in India's Foreign Policy and Japan" Written by HIROSE,Takako, Professor, Senshu University
- August 2017: "The Shocks that shook the Transatlantic World and their Implication for Japan's Foreign Policy" written by HOSOYA, Yuichi, Professor, Keio University
- August 2017: "Does Economic Interdependence not Encourage Collaboration? ―Thinking Japan-China Relations from an Economic Perspective―" written by Takashi SEKIYAMA, Ph.D., Toyo University
- July 2017: Proposal article "The Trump Administration's Impact on the Cross-Strait Relations" written by Yasuhiro Matsuda, Ph.D.
- June 2017: Proposal article "The outlook for the relationship between two great powers and implications for Japanese diplomacy" written by Professor Shin Kawashima
- May 2017: (Emergency Proposal) Facing the Inconvenient Truth: Re-examining Policy for Peace and Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula (Chief author, Masao Okonogi)
- March 2017: "Economic Influences of the Trump Administration" written by Professor Motoshige Ito
- February, 2017: Proposal article "Trump's Foreign and Security Policy - Unpredictable President, Realistic Secretaries - " written by Mr. Tsuneo Watanabe is posted on the website of SSDP.
- December, 2016: Proposal article "Reconsidering North Korea Policy: How to Deal with a Nuclear Armed Divided States" written by Professor Masao Okonogi is posted on the website of SSDP.
- November 2018: "The Present State of the Japanese Economy and Policy Issues" lectured by Motoshige Itoh, Professor Emeritus at the University of Tokyo.
- November 2018: "Expanding Social Security Expenses and Fiscal Reforms" lectured by Kazumasa Oguro, Professor at Hosei University.
- September 2018: "Taiwan Identity and Cross-Strait Relations and Trump's Taiwan Policy and the Future of Taiwan-US Relations-Discussion at The Second Japan-Taiwan Strategic Dialogue (June 21, 2018, Taipei)-" written by OGATA, Makoto
- September 2018: "Japan-Taiwan Dialogue 2018 Minutes", 21st June 2018, Taipei, Taiwan.
- July 2018: Report on The Second Japan – Philippines Strategic Dialogue prepared by Ms. Vindu Mai Chotani, Ph.D. Student, Graduate School of Public Policy, Tokyo University.
- May 2018: "Civilian Control "at Crisis"? – Perhaps Not, for the Case of the Field Sit-reps from SDF's South Sudan Mission" reported by Ippeita Nishida, Research Fellow, the Sasakawa Peace Foundation
- January 2018: "Fukushima, Genki？Project－Young Taiwanese volunteers introduce the facts on Fukushima's revival through documentary films－" reported by OGATA, Makoto, Former Chief of the Japan-Taiwan Exchange Association in Taipei
- December 2017: "Commemorating a Quarter Century of Dispatches of the JSDF's PKO Units: Challenges and Possibilities in the Post South Sudan" written by Takayuki Shoji, Lecturer, Nihon University
- November 2017: "19th CCP National Congress" written by Mr. Bonji Ohara, Senior Research Fellow, the Sasakawa Peace Fondation
- October 2017: "What is Japan's Role in the Indo-China border conflict?" written by Dr. NGAO,Satoru, Research Fellow, Institute for Future Engineering
- July 2017: "Overview of the Current Situation in Taiwan-" the Naturally Independent Generation" will affect the Taiwan"s politics-" written by Makoto Ogata MGE.(Ret.)
- June 2017: "Japan-U.S. Economic Dialogue" written by Mr.Takaaki Asano
- March 2017: "The Japan-Philippines Strategic Dialogue" written by Mr. Hideshi Tokuchi
- February, 2017: Current topic "The Importance of Japan's Security Role Under Trump" written by Dr. Satoru Nagao is posted on the SSDP website.
- December, 2016: Current topic "Widening Security Task: Will SDF do the Job?" written by Mr. Ippeita Nishida is posted on the SSDP website.
- December 2018: Former Vice Defense Minister Masahiro Akiyama's Memoirs (An Ad)
- November 2018: Participation in the Future Consensus Forum held in Beijing
- September 2018: "2018 Indo-Pacific Security Dialogue" reported by Masahiro Akiyama
- 2017 December: "The Butterfly Project-A possibility of showing a solution to the North Korea problem-"
- October 2017: Campaign on the problems with North Korea
- August 2017: A New Containment Policy Strategy
- June 2017: Korean peninsla
- March 2017: President Duterte
- February, 2017: Kazakhstan
- November, 2016: Participated in Astana Club 2016 held in Kazakhstan on November 14- 16, 2016.